Credit Crisis is Over! Yay!

by: Hannah Farber

Wed Apr 16, 2008 at 18:18:54 PM EDT


On Slate today, some amusingly unconvincing prognostications, from the guys who brought you the credit crisis, about how the credit crisis is, like, basically, already over. Credit crisis: It's so 2007 of you to ask.

My favorite:

John Mack, CEO of Morgan Stanley: Trotting out his most strained sports metaphor on April 8, Mack said that the credit crisis is in the eighth inning or "the top of the ninth." If that's the case, then Morgan's starting pitching was pretty dismal. Mack and the now-departed Zoe Cruz allowed Morgan to lose $3.7 billion from subprime losses in 2007. This, coupled with a $2.3 billion write-down in the first quarter of this year, doesn't inspire confidence in Mack's prognostications.

Hannah Farber :: Credit Crisis is Over! Yay!
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What Credit Crisis (0.00 / 0)

Don't know about commercial credit, but one with a stable, even if not a very large income, a good credit history, or a twenty percent down payment has access to consumer or mortgage credit at a great rate. Access to credit in the U.S. at least is just about the best it has been in the history of the world. But no, one will not get a loan that he  cannot reliably afford to pay back on the premise that his house value will continue to rise as had been expected in the house buying boom.

With assets or reliable revenue one has access to credit at a good rate. What is the credit climate by which we judge the current one a crisis?

So what if companies who bullishly made or bought insecure loans take a hammering? And so what if people who took loans they could not reliably afford have to move back into apartments. After years of saving a down payment I bought a house last year. Since my purchase the house has lost market value. Ho hum.  

What happens if and when there is a crisis? Will we call it a super-crisis?   



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